When the time of the phase is nearly 1 o'clock, there is no major
tropical storm and the earthquakes occurring were not much more than
5.5 M., the weather here should be wet.

And it is.

If there was a tropical storm (of say, 4F on the Saffir Simpson scale)
the weather here would be almost the same as if the time of the phase
was 08:44 or 20:44.

Which times I am not all that sure about. But there is what the
British Code Breakers of Bletchley Park would call a crib:
http://www.gchq.gov.uk/about/bletchley.html

My "crib" is to compare the time of phased with this table:
http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html and see
if any of the times match. These are some that do:

2001.

16 Jan 12:35

24 Jan 13:07

8 Nov 12:21


2002.

20 Apr 12:48

18 Jun 00:29


2003.

10 Jan 13:15

23 Apr 12:18

1 May 12:15

23 May 00:31

20 Aug 00:48

3 Sept 12:34

18 Oct 12:31

25 Oct 12:50

9 Nov 01:14


2004.

28 Sept 13:09

5 Dec 00:53


2005.

2 Apr 00:50

17 Oct 12:14

25 Oct 01:17

16 Nov 00:58


2006

28 Feb 00:31

14 Oct 00:25

5 Nov 12:58


2007.

11 Jan 12:45

1 Jun 01:04

22 Jun 13:15

30 Jul 00:48

11 Sept 12:44

1 Dec 12:44

24 Dec 01:16

Obviously, the best matches are the ones that occur at the same time
of year and closest to the time.

This is the "crib". You just match the dates with these storms:
http://www.gdacs.org/cyclones/

They tell you which kind of pattern is going to hold. It is virtually
an open book. What could be easier?