On Dec 5, 11:44 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
When the time of the phase is nearly 1 o'clock, there is no major
tropical storm and the earthquakes occurring were not much more than
5.5 M., the weather here should be wet.
If there was a tropical storm (of say, 4F on the Saffir Simpson scale)
Things would be different. But by how much?
My "crib" is to compare the time of phased with this table:http://sunearth..gsfc.nasa.gov/eclip...001gmt.htmland see
if any of the times match. These are some that do:
Obviously, the best matches are the ones that occur at the same time
of year and closest to the time.
Now to get the declinations from:
http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Solar
Note: Some years the moon travels 26 and more degrees both north and
south of the equator over a period of about 4 weeks. That means on any
of the following 6 to 9 day periods, the moon moves on average, some
52/7 degrees.
However the nearer it gets to the equator the faster it moves and it
has a tdc and bdc where it seems to hang in the sky:
http://bible.cc/joshua/10-13.htm. I can't say there is anything but a
broad spectrum in the declinations, but would it be otherwise?
The potency of typhoons and hurricanes is not affected but I have no
doubt that all it affects is the timing within each particular spell.
All I lack is proof.
2001.
16 to 24 January with the Second Quarter at: 12:35.
The lunar declination went from: -6° to: -20° in that time. (14
degrees)
24 January to 1 February with the New Moon at 13:07.
The lunar declination went from: -20° to: +11° in that time. (31
degrees)
8 November to 15 November. Second or Last Quarter 12:21.
The lunar declination went from: +19° to: -17° in that time. (36
degrees.)
2002.
Almost missed this one:
27 December to 2 January 2003 and another Last Quarter: 00:31.
The lunar declination went from: -1° to: -25° in that time. (24
degrees.)
2003.
10 to 18 January 13:15.
The lunar declination went from: +4° to: +24° in that time. (20
degrees.)
18 to 25 October, Second Quarter: 12:31.
The lunar declination went from: +25° to: -11° in that time. (36
degrees.)
25 October to 1 November, New Moon: 12:50.
The lunar declination went from: -11° to: -21° in that time. (10
degrees.)
9 to 17 November, First Quarter: 01:14.
The lunar declination went from: +18° to: +16° in that time. (18
degrees -going through 26 degrees north max..)
2004.
5 to 12 December, Second Quarter: 00:53.
The lunar declination went from: +6° to: -27° in that time. (33
degrees.)
2005.
This is close, so I will leave it in to get a cross reference with the
beginning of the North Atlantic season:
2 to 8 April, New Moon: 00:50
The lunar declination went from: -27° to: +5° in that time. (32
degrees. The solar declinations is around 6 degrees North.)
25 October to 2 November, Second Quarter: 01:17.
The lunar declination went from: +22° to: -19° in that time. (41
degrees.)
16 to 23 November Full Moon: 00:58; makes a change from Second quarter
and New Moon.
The lunar declination went from: +24° to: +15° in that time. (18
degrees.)
2006.
28 February to 6 March, New Moon, 00:31.
The lunar declination went from: -5° to: +27° in that time. (32
degrees.)
14 to 22 October, Second Quarter: 00:25.
The lunar declination went from: +24° to: -15° in that time. (39
degrees.)
5 to 12 November, Full Moon: 12:58.
The lunar declination went from: +19° to: +17° in that time. (18
degrees.)
2007.
11 to 19 January, Second Quarter: 12:45.
The lunar declination went from: -11° to: -22° in that time. (21
degrees.)
1 to 9 December, Second Quarter: 12:44.
The lunar declination went from: +7° to: -27° in that time. (32
degrees.)
24 to 31 December, Full Moon: 01:16.
The lunar declination went from: +26° to: -8° in that time. (34
degrees.)
Interesting which phases are involved in the above. I wonder if it
just coincidence?
This is the "crib". You just match the dates with these storms
:http://www.gdacs.org/cyclones/
They tell you which kind of pattern is going to hold. It is virtually
an open book. What could be easier?