November was 5th warmest on NASA's 128-year Northern Hemisphere
record.
Basic greenhouse gas physics from MIT.
http://www-paoc.mit.edu/labweb/notes/chap2.pdf
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 128 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.
The Mean November temperature over the last 128 years is 14.008 C.
The Variance is 0.18994.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.4358.
Rxy 0.69647 Rxy^2 0.4851
TEMP = 13.478271 + (0.008215 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 126 F = 118.690192
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.9999999999999999999 (19 nines)
The month of Nov in the year 2007,
is linearly projected to be 14.530,
yet it was 14.96. - 1 SIGMA above projected.
The sum of the residuals is 33.95314
Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.482701 * e^(.0005852 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 33.96516 - Now larger than linear.
Rank of the months of November
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2005 15.15 1.142 2.62
2004 15.06 1.052 2.41
2001 15.06 1.052 2.41
2006 15.03 1.022 2.34
2007 14.96 0.952 2.18 --
2002 14.89 0.882 2.02
2003 14.84 0.832 1.91
1999 14.69 0.682 1.56
1998 14.69 0.682 1.56
1995 14.66 0.652 1.50
1997 14.62 0.612 1.40
1990 14.61 0.602 1.38
1983 14.58 0.572 1.31
MEAN 14.008 0.000 0.00
1882 13.42 -0.588 -1.35
1907 13.40 -0.608 -1.40
1898 13.40 -0.608 -1.40
1902 13.36 -0.648 -1.49
1894 13.36 -0.648 -1.49
1889 13.35 -0.658 -1.51
1890 13.34 -0.668 -1.53
1887 13.34 -0.668 -1.53
1884 13.34 -0.668 -1.53
1883 13.33 -0.678 -1.56
1908 13.26 -0.748 -1.72
1892 13.24 -0.768 -1.76
1891 13.24 -0.768 -1.76
1880 13.06 -0.948 -2.18
The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1535 months of data on this data set:
-- 783 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 752 of them are below the norm.
This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.