I
18Z GFS is looking seriously wintry for last two days of January. Retrogression
has been a consistent theme now in the models for past 24 hours allowing a
cyclonic very cold northerly (originating where sea anomalies are negative) to
push down across UK behind a cold front next Weds into Thurs with 850 hPa
temperatures -5 to -8C. 12Z ECMWF is also quite marked about retrogression and
cold plunge. As is UKMO as far as I can see. Confidence in this must be
increasing to circa 60% I'd say. That might knock a record mild January on the
head for some people LOL.
Long way off yet Will we are still on here for another record warm
January next 4 or 5 days looking good for it
One of the lads came in today and said he'd heard snow showers were
forecast for this afternoon, I really had to control my laughter!
Offered to give him 10 quid if we had as much as a snowflake I was that
confident, needless to say my money is still in my pocket!
Max 7.2c from 09.00 much warmer between 00.00 and 09.00!
Dry and sunny today with 5.5 hours sunshine.
Weston Coyney weather station (North Staffordshire) 220 metres asl
--
Graham