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Old January 25th 08, 10:16 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Ron Button Ron Button is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2004
Posts: 972
Default Seriously wintry weather on the way?

Dave you really must give up that job in the Dagenham catacombs .....perhaps
you could try a Lidl AWS ?, they work anywhere !

RonB


"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
. ..

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Well as of 25/01/08 all models are going solidly for major long wave
retrogression (high centred western/mid Atlantic) and very cold air
plunging
down from north later next week and lasting into next weekend at least.

Still some oscillation in detail and ECMWF 00Z run is frightening with
1000-500
thickness down to 516DAM over Wales. Possibly an outlier. GFS is the
least keen
on deep cold air which is unusual, so perhaps that is an outlier too as
its
ensembles look cold. UKMO is in line but not as cold as the ECMWF
(outlier?).
GEM is also less cold, throwing some more doubt on severity.

So some sleet and snow for a lot of people on low ground I'd say at end
of next
week, particularly in west and north with still some west in the flow. My
personal confidence is now 65%, so still an amount of doubt obviously.

Nevertheless, I have primed the Haytor community for the probability of
snow
above 250m asl from next Thursday onwards and I can hear the sound of
sledges
being honed as I type, me ... I'm gonna check that log pile in the lovely
dry
and sunny weather we have now :-)

Will
--

" I shall not commit the fashionable stupidity of regarding everything
I cannot explain as fraud. Carl Jung "

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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

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Good chance of this coming off as I am doing something next Thursday and
Friday which entails being unable to be outside and possibly not having
access to an outside window. ;-(


Dave