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Old January 27th 08, 05:50 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Keith (Southend) Keith (Southend) is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2006
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Default That gap in the obs network

Will Hand wrote:
"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
.163...
"Will Hand" wrote in
:

Well GFS 06Z run has 850 hPa of -7C over London on Saturday. I find it
hard to believe that that would mean a max. of 6C? Clearly GFS has not
been followed, which is fair enough, but it shows the possibilities,
writing this one off 5 days away is far too premature in my view.

Maybe I'm never particularly overwhelmed by cold northerly-northwesterlies.
Although in fairness - maxima of 3c in London for Thursday, so clearly not
going with that view in the weekly forecast.

GFS has a much stronger Greenland high than EC/UKMO and if this the key
determinant then goodness knows what is going to happen !

Richard


The key determinant is the strength of the NW'ly jet coming off southern
Greenland on Weds IMHO.

Will
--



I know I shouldn't look further ahead, but GFS 12z looks very
interesting beyond next weekend. Maybe we'll have another shot at this then?

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net