Gut feel forecast for April
On Mar 15, 10:39 am, "Col" wrote:
"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Here we go, another "gut feel" forecast.
A very cold Easter is now pretty certain with snow in places. But, once
the
longwave pattern translates away east at the end of the month that could
well be the end of this present unsettled spell and as we move into April
some warm, dry and sunny weather is on the cards. Just watch Spring go!
But,
... as has been the pattern recently another long wave retrogression could
occur turning it colder and wet again towards the end of the month as we
go
into May.
Well the wild and wacky end of the GFS certainly bears that out,
if only Easter could be one week later!
One thing I can predict with confidence is the media calling for a
fixed date to Easter if it is indeed a cold easter, given this is the
earliest Easter within living memory (never before do I remember it
being as early as the second-to-last Sunday in March). Irrational of
course, the latest Easter of my lifetime (2000) was probably worse
than this Easter is likely to be, very wet but without the
compensation of snow.
Nick
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