Today's model interpretation (30/03/08)
"Darren Prescott" wrote in message
...
Note: Now that everyone's doing everything an hour earlier, I'll have less
time on Sundays to write this analysis. As such, until everyone goes back
to normal there'll be a shorter analysis on Sundays.
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0445z, 31st March 2008.
There are signs of colder weather on the way. ECM and GFS both show a
ridge over the UK towards the end of the working week and both show the
ridge moving westwards, opening the gates for a northerly blast. GFS shows
the blast to be especially potent for early April, although its ensembles
show a 50/50 split between a cold spell and much milder conditions
persisting.
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I noticed yesterday that the GFS ensembles were incredibly split from about
April 7th , 50% going for +10C 850hPa and the other 50% for about -10C 850
hPa with not much in between!
Dave
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