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Old April 4th 08, 01:42 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Roger Brugge Roger Brugge is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2006
Posts: 85
Default Penzance - Stupid Forecast


Graham Easterling wrote:
I've just looked at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...t_weather.html

The forecast currently shows for Penzance:-
13:00 9C
16:00 9C
Now, I if there was persistent sea fog all day the AND the breeze was
onshore temperature could be held down to 10-11C (the sea
temperature). Any brief breaks would soon push it to 12 or 13.

BUT the wind is NNW - offshore, so low cloud at times certainly but no
sea fog. In fact the cloud's already breaking as it descends into the
Bay

I think this forecast is down to:-
1. Totally ignoring aspect (I've mentioned this before)
2. Total lack of data from the south Cornwall coast, and over
reliance of the nearby foggy north coast & hill top locations of
Camborne & St. Mawgan & Culdrose.
3. The fine tuning (mentioned by Will) being done by a mentally
deficient monkey thoroughly p****d off by having to write Shakespeare.

Graham
Penzance


or, 4. simply the result of using nearby sea surface temperatures (i.e. air temps
over the sea) and a bad model-gridpoint to forecast-location interpolation scheme?

Roger