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Old April 6th 08, 11:47 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
Mr Right Mr Right is offline
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Default Yes, The Continental USA is Warming Faster

On Apr 6, 3:11*am, Roger Coppock wrote:
To confirm what several other people posted,
the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe.

According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data
from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees
North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per
century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per
century. *(RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs
when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by
excluding the poles.)

Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts
greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West
and heartland than more most regions.

These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth
columns of:

http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS...

Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's
area, there are more than enough data to support this statement.

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
Call:
lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON)

Residuals:
* * *Min * * * 1Q * Median * * * 3Q * * *Max
-0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 *0.10907 *0.73922

Coefficients:
* * * * * * Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) -35.1291 * * 2.2028 * -15.9 * 2e-16 ***
YEARMON * * * 0.0177 * * 0.0011 * *16.0 * 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: *0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, * * *Adjusted R-squared: 0.421
F-statistic: *255 on 1 and 349 DF, *p-value: 2e-16

- - - -

*fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON)
summary(fitted.model)


Call:
lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON)

Residuals:
* * Min * * *1Q *Median * * *3Q * * Max
-3.0723 -0.4895 *0.0287 *0.5624 *2.2018

Coefficients:
* * * * * * *Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) -55.26373 * 10.64006 * -5.19 *3.5e-07 ***
YEARMON * * * 0.02779 * *0.00534 * *5.21 *3.3e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: *0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, * * Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694
F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, *p-value: 3.29e-07


On Apr 6, 3:11 am, Roger Coppock wrote:
To confirm what several other people posted,
the continental USA is warming faster than
the rest of the globe.

Roger,

Please translate your ambiguous statement into language with a clear
and unambiguous meaning.

Even if we assume that "the globe" only refers to everything from 82
degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude, do you mean:

- that the continental USA is warming faster than ALL of the REST of
the globe.

- that the continental USA is warming faster than the AVERAGE of the
REST of the globe.

- that the continental USA is warming faster than the AVERAGE of the
WHOLE of the globe.

As a self-proclaimed statistics expert, you should realize that if you
are comparing to an average, then the comparision has little meaning
(other than bigger or smaller) unless you specify the standard
deviation for the distribution.

Remember that when comparing to an average, approximately half of the
samples will be above the average. Are you simply saying that the
continental USA is in the 50% that is warming faster than the average?