Dave R. wrote:



Another run with hints of a warming, but a subtly different set-up and
the outside chance of a plume heading our way.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png

Still not enough confidence for any kind of forecast at T240. This
mildness has come in under my radar. Some warmth would be very
welcome, though.



Paul

Wow that looks fantastic I hadn't seen that one at the wetterzentrale
site and only have to wait until the 12th! fingers crossed and thks
Dave R.


The 06Z GFS ensemble mean show 850 mb temps rising only to around
average in the south of the British Isles, implying daytime max temps
probably around 10-12c. The 850mb ensemble for London can be found at

http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

The 06z GFS operational run is on the warm side of the ensemble mean.



Norman
--
Norman Lynagh
Chalfont St Giles, Buckinghamshire
85m a.s.l.
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