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Old April 11th 08, 10:17 PM posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.oceanography
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
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Default Is 2008 colder than the average ? X-Posting

On Apr 11, 12:35*pm, "kieler.sprotte"
wrote:
According Michel Jarraud, generale secretary of the WMO, 2008 should be
colder than average.


After 3 months of 2008 and a weakening La nina, I'd put this as
remote.

Met offices found a suddden drop of temperature
after june 2007. Bevor being condemned to be a person ignoring the
globale warming letīs discuss about the effect of La Nina.

Oceanographic Studies figure out clearly that a new La Nina Phase is
activ.


Activ? NOAA, the Aussie Met Bureau and the majotity of the predictive
models show it to be weakening.

This explains why in Africa and Australia we had so much rain.

many parts of Australia are currently in the grip of drought despite
La Nina.

Even the very low temperatures in China can be explained with La Nina.


How?


Sure the effect has only minor effects for Europe but the mild winter
could be a result of this effect.


It really is a "could". No research points to the bulk of any type of
UK winter being the result of La Nina.

Normaly La Nina is only activ for a 9
til 12 months period.


Not always: this page will help:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/ana...nsoyears.shtml

But correlation with the above average 98
occurance show that even a 2 jaer Influence is possible


Not possible, recorded a number of times:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/ana...nsoyears.shtml

What do you think ?


Not a lot here, Marc!