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Old April 12th 08, 05:44 PM posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.oceanography
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
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Default Is 2008 colder than the average ? X-Posting

On Apr 12, 12:03Â*am, Dick Lovett wrote:
On Apr 11, 12:35�pm, "kieler.sprotte"
wrote:

According Michel Jarraud, generale secretary of the WMO, 2008 should be
colder than average.
Marc


I believe what Michael Jarrud actually said was that this year would
be cooler than 2007, not cooler than average. It should in fact still
be warmer than average.
Although La Nina is expected to gradually weaken this year with
neutral conditions by the 3rd quarter, there is a significant lag
before its cooling effect wares off.

Dick Lovett


Now that would be a lot more sensible, Dick. The chances of this year
being below average, with GW highly likely (never certain) to continue
are extremely slim. It is 169 months, over 14 years, since the world
experienced a month which was colder that the 127+ years NASA average.
It is 31 years since the world experienced a year colder than that
sequence's average year and 2008 is almost certain to make that 32. It
is moot whether 2008 will be warmer, of colder than 2007.

Paul