On Apr 19, 2:26 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
FUD.
Don't be put off by it in any of its forms. What is the worst that
could happen? In 2004, the Boxing Day disaster that started with an
earthquake at Banda Atjeh swept the Indian Ocean as far as Africa.

10 years before, a certain manager in the Indonesian Meteorological
department was removed from office for making a mistake and issuing a
Tsunami alert.
Pity.

However those that remained alert were able to take appropriate steps
and save both themselves and their families. The odd thing was that
those most at variance with the sophisticated academic vision of
elementary geophysics fared better that those too wrapped up in their
own cleverness to do anything about it.

Meanwhile, for the next spell:
April 20th to 28th the lunar phase occurs at 10:25. And that puts it
into the same league as the spell for 14th to 21st Mar 10:46.

So more of the same, which IIRC stated last time with a storm east of
Australia. I believe that faded when an stronger one on the other side
started.
And all sorts of nasty things occurred in the south eastern states of
the US&A.

Look out for a large High confluence in the NE Pacific. It could
extend to the North Pole but is likely to be cut through by a trough
of low pressure.

So...
Here's to interesting times. And always remember:
You are on your own.

Here is one I prepared earlier:

On Mar 14, 12:30 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 13, 11:11 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

14th to 21st March 2008. The time of the phase is 10:46. Which is
similar to the last phase, in that it should provide anticyclonic
weather.

However things are not working out that way so far.

So here we are 5 minutes into a new spell and things are looking
exactly the same as they did at the start of the last:
http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html

I don't know what's going on over Oklahoma, Arkansas, Texas and
Louisiana. There is nothing on this site to compare to the yellow
squares on the above site:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/wwa/

But there is a lot of cyclogenesis (stormy weather) there.

Points to watch out for:

On the NEIC board that lists the dates of recent earthquakes with a
magnitude over 5:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...quakes_big.php

Look out for a day that reports no such quakes. This is a new thing
learned so it might contain errors but it seems that when there are
violent storms due whose potential inner pressures at sea level are
likely to be as low as the 960's millibars,

.....there is always an hiatus in the list.

I have noticed the hiatus in times past but never made the connection
until looking at the Aussie site he
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/nmoc/l...DCODE=IDX0033&...

And following this warning is a much less gentle one where there will
be two or three consecutive earthquakes on that list that are in
almost the same place. I am not sure where the first series takes
place but the same recurs when the storm is over and the following
seems to apply:

For storms in the South West Indian Ocean, this series seems to be
Vanuatu some 120 degrees distant.

I expect yet more tropical storms and there is still the residue of
the storm that passed through Britain last Monday to fade into the
background too.

That one is at present over Estonia and Latvia, with the one that
crossed Britain a day or so later about to approach Norway both at 990
millibars.

I believe that when they reach 1000 to 1005 mb there will be a large,
maybe a very large earthquake. (As a warning the prelude will be some
uncertain or plain wrong weather forecasting from the various national
agencies.)

Well that's the best I can do so far. Good luck to all involved and
god help the victims. Maybe once the one laptop per child thing gets
going, they might have a fighting chance. Maybe even grow up to
respect their environment and stop the illegal logging.

Let's hope they are not subverted with the hopeless inanity of global
warming whatever else.