On May 5, 10:00 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
5th to 12th May 12:18
This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/...
Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?
09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:
When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:
"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.
The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.
By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.
It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.
Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0...
An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.
This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.
Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.
Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...frm/thread/67a...
Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.
12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes
too. I forgot to mention that but then it is already written in the
annals of the great Weatherlawyer and further discourse is mere
repetition to my fans and other followers.
Here is an extract that might be worth watching for:
7 Mar 17:14 This and the one following are the same spell except by
half an our. Quarter each side of the hour. Unstable and tending
toward anticyclonic
14 Mar 10:46 5 and 11 of the clock. And all's well unless there is a
super-cyclone. Who can say?
21 Mar 18:40 Another unstable spell and this one tending to wet.
(Seven o'clock.)
29 Mar 21:47 10 o'clock. An awkward bugger.
6 Apr 03:55 4 o'clock and the same as the previous one. (Whatever that
might be.)
12 Apr 18:32 Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.
20 Apr 10:25 And a repeat to within 40 minutes of the spell for the
29th March. How close that is I can not say.
28 Apr 14*:12 This one is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
5 May 12:18 And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April. And here
we are already.
12 May 03:47 This is one similar to the spell for 6th April.
20 May 02*:11 This one too is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
28 May 02*:57 And this one more likely a thundery spell, though not
that dissimilar to the preceding.
And now we begin the Atlantic hurricane season.
3 Jun 19:23 This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too.
10 Jun 15:04 Whilst this is an anticyclonic as is the following one.
18 Jun 17:30 So no hurricanes here unless...
26 Jun 12:10 Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though.
3 Jul 02*:19 Maybe this one too. Except for that proclivity for
Anticyclones on the US east coast.
10 Jul 04:35
18 Jul 07:59 I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic.
25 Jul 18:42 This one is though.
1 Aug 10:13 This one is one for the North pacific I imagine.
8 Aug 20*:20 I should be able to tell by this date just exactly what
to expect from these. So that will be something.
16 Aug 21:16 Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes.
23 Aug 23:50 As for the 26th June.
30 Aug 19:58 And here is an 8 o'clock one. This should have had an
asterisk.
7 Sept 14*:04 After all this one did!
15 Sept 09:13 More sound of the fury signifying nothing?
22 Sept 05:04 And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September?
29 Sept 08*:12 There are a ot of these about this year, are there not?
7 Oct 09:04 And more than a smattering of thunder spells too.
14 Oct 20*:03 Is this the last one of the season?
21 Oct 11:55 and 28th Oct 23:14 Or these two.