On May 9, 3:47*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 8, 10:53 pm, Weatherlawyer



Oh, by the way; is this an example of diffluence?http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

(55 N. 35 W.)

They think it's all over!

Complex problems with complex low and the Low Complex:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/..._pressure.html

That has just GOT to be a major volcanic eruption late saturday most
of Sunday and early Monday. Just like it shows on the model run I
posted about on this thread:



http://groups.google.com/group/uk.sc...read/f7644...- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text

OK, a major eruption at some time over a specified 2-day period. We'll
monitor that. You need this one to occur, to increase your forecast
accuracy to 33% over your last 3 forecasts. At the moment, your
percentage accuracy stands at zero (0/2) since April 24th.

If your definition of a "major" eruption would be "explosive" on the
VEI scale, one would expect one to happen weekly, on average. As one
hasn't happened since the 2nd May, another would be expected soon -
hence, probably, your forecast. The biggest one recently, Chaiten,
your methods patently failed to predict.

http://volcano.und.edu/vwdocs/eruption_scale.html

Also, you can't pull the wool over our eyes by quoting any of these,
unless there is a significant change in the output of any of them. All
these are ongoing.

http://volcano.und.edu/vwdocs/eruption_scale.html

Good luck. You'll need it.