"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On May 31, 7:48 am, Keith Wassell wrote:
A few reasonably nice days early on. Then continual rain/storms/grey.
Don't know whats happening in the NE but has the foggy pattern set in
there too?

Worse than that i've seen words like unforcasted and unforecastable
used to in this group. Hmmmm

Whats happening generally, have we got this 'jetstream too far south'
problem all over again?

Are we going to get any ' Long settled spells' ? like 2003,2004 and
2006 with the mecury hitting 30+ ?

Regards, Keith

Hi Keith,

No idea; probably, neither has anyone else! To the start of the second
week in June may look like it could torn cooler than it looked like it
would a few days ago, but that kind of non-descript phrase is about
the limit of summer seasonal forecastability. It's like trying to
estimate where the skyline is in fog. Personally, I'd go 1/4 that the
summer will be warmer than average, but anyone else who is putting any
kind of detail into forecasts what the pattern of weather over the 3
months of the summer will be like, from the standpoint of now,
excellent meteorologist/agency/MO/Internet punter, or whoever, is
doing little more than guessing. That's not being disrespectful in the
slightest; it's just being realistic. The UKMO is the best and their
record of forecasting the coming summer's weather, is very poor.
That's not their fault; it's just not possible. If it were, how could
the MO possible miss the "signals" for a wet summer last year? They
missed them because no-one knows what to look for. That doesn't mean
someone won't find a reliable signal, perhaps soon, but at present,
there isn't one.

Also; "So far" into the summer? What's that all about? You won't get
far comparing the end of May to last summer! Mind you, Keith, this
morning certainly feels like summer - whatever that actually feels
like in the UK.....Dawlish beach at low tide was magnificent this
morning! Thank goodness we've got some sun.

Pass me a slice of toast please Will. *))

Paul

====

Certainly feels like high summer today up here on Dartmoor Paul.
Light winds 20C, balmy feel, sun out, bees and butterflies, fresh flowers
and trees - beautiful.

FWIW I predict a changeable summer ahead, no long dry settled spells, plenty
of rain, but with some nice warm and sunny days like today.

Will
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