On May 31, 6:29*pm, Paul Hyett wrote:
On Fri, 30 May 2008 at 23:48:11, Keith Wassell wrote
in uk.sci.weather :



Whats happening generally, have we got this 'jetstream too far south'
problem all over again?

Are we going to get any ' Long settled spells' ? like 2003,2004 and
2006 *with the mecury hitting 30+ ?

I hope not...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

i Paul,

There's an increasing chance that you may be disappointed and that
most of the rest of England, at least, could be looking towards
something approaching those "long settled spells with the mercury
hitting 30C+".........maybe not quite that long, or high, but at least
a few days of "nice" weather!

What a difference a day makes in model watching really. From looking
at cool, unsettled conditions 24 hours ago, the gfs now shows
delightfully settled and warm conditions with the establishment of
aEuropean high, by T240.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2402.png

It's just changing model output really. I haven't got a great deal of
confidence in that T240 scenario and even if it developed, there's no
guarantee of a long spell of warm and settled weather for the UK, but
those charts are a little more optimistic-looking than those
yesterday. (Well, OK, optimistic-looking if you like dry, warm and
settled weather in summer. I realise that is a subjective viewpoint,
but most do!).

Give me another 4 runs with those charts showing at T240 and I'll get
interested.

Paul

PS Over the last 2 days, the outlook has really improved for your
holiday in the Costas David, too! It was looking pretty abysmal, but;
"the wind is changing, Mary Poppins!" Pressure is looking like it will
rise and produce settled and sunny weather formuch of your holiday
week...........wait until tomorrow to confirm that though; like I
said, a day is a long tome in model watching.