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Old June 20th 08, 08:57 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Unsettled, heat, then unsettled again, by 25th June.

On Jun 19, 2:31*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 19, 12:14*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:





On Jun 16, 12:02*am, Robin Nicholson


wrote:
On Sun, 15 Jun 2008 19:51:04 +0100, "N.E Zephyr"
wrote:


100% Wrong. All the way to the 25th.
Just like your last so called forecast.


100% consistency in being inaccurate since your spamming of USW began paul.


I am sure there are many on this newsgroup who welcome
opinions/predictions just as there are those that pick up on the daily
observations that are made from around the country. I prefer the
former.


The MetO update their 6-15 day forecast daily at just before noon. It
is a daily read for me at work noticing subtle changes - even the
occasional grammatical howler!
So what exactly is your problem with an opinion about the weather and
what it might hold for us. Everyone knows things change.
RN


Quite right. And they aren't even his forecasts in the first place.


Leave him alone, say I, the poor dear. He doesn't hurt anyone.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


W; did some digging. You did say that a "major" earthquake was due
didn't you? Well, on another thread, you gave a timing for that,
though you kept that timing secret from us, despite being asked for
some specifics. You did write this, did you not, following the
Earthquake in Northern Japan on the 13th of this month?

"I think so too. It is being touted as an R7 on British TV. We are
only
half way through this spell and there is a major quake due, so even
if
this one is promoted to a mag 7 it will still owe us another for the
end of the run on Wednesday the 18th."

The date has passed. The "major" quake never happened. You were
wrong.

1/5, 20% since April 24th. In that time, your methods have missed
predicting every one of the bigger earthquakes, including the biggest
one of the year, so far, in Sichuan and you missed the biggest
Volcanic eruption too - Chaiten's eruption.

The only way to assess the ability of a forecaster is to monitor
accuracy over time. Don't trust anyone's ability, as a forecaster of
anything, who fails to return to the forecasts they make, to analyse
them and explain the result at outcome; be it right, or wrong.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


W; just because you have a taste for abuse and a complete lack of
ability to justify your theories by your constant failiure to show
that they can be of any use whatsoever.......may I remind you of the
above? 1/5, 20% accuracy since 24th June.

It's not going well.

Time you forecast an earthquake/volcanic eruption accurately, with
timings, location and strength. Only then will people listen.

I would imagine, on your past record, that this post will be greeted
with either silence, or abuse. Neither would be very convincing. I'd
hope you will put your theories to the test, but that might be a vain
hope.