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Old July 27th 08, 08:31 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
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Default Sunday's 6 day model interpretation (given: 27/07/08)

On Jul 27, 6:00 am, "Darren Prescott"
wrote:

By next weekend there'll be cooler and fresher conditions across the UK, as
low pressure moves in from the west. All areas are at risk of rain, the
heaviest of which will be in the north and west.


Which won't happen I presume until Fung Wang runs out of pressure. It
is slated to reach 100 knots tomorrow. Signs of its demise will come
10 knots at a time from the NEIC list at:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...quakes_big.php

(Where coincidentally, even now the demise of another storm is being
signalled.)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Thursday.
Issued 0456z, 27th July 2008.

ECMWF:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
SE'lies cover the UK, with low pressure to the SW and a secondary low to the
south. Low pressure persists to the SW on day 6 with further SE'lies. On day
7 the low deepens to the west of Scotland, leading to stronger SSW'lies and
SW'lies.


This Low has built up out of the standard Newfounlander and of Bertha
I take it? Or am I right it went west on Wodin's day? (I see some odd
signals for that on NEIC's list.)

Did it come back from crossing Iceland? Anyone know?

MetO:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows a trough over Ireland and a mixture of light SSE'lies and SE'lies
as a result. The winds become lighter on day 6 as low pressure fills to the
west of Ireland.

GFS:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
GFS has a low to the SW and SE'lies across the UK as a result. The low
deepens to the north of Scotland on day 6, leading to gusty SW'lies for all.
Southerlies cover the UK on day 7 as another low moves over Ireland.

GEM:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run brings SSE'lies with low pressure west of Scotland.

JMA:http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows southerlies and SSE'lies as the result of a low to
the west.


Measures of agreement denote an understanding of the planet's state of
fluidity. Much digression means discrepancies will be resolved
elsewhere.
(Weatherlawyer's lore.)