On Jul 21, 7:54*am, Dawlish wrote:
Away from the NW, there's some lovely weather coming this week. It's
been on the gfs and the ECM, for a while and I see no reason to change
my view that a UK max of 25C will be achieved on most of the days this
week and that the warmest day of the year, so far, will be achieved by
next Monday.

After that, a blocking high over the Baltic splits the jet. It's good
news for the Eastern side of Britain, at least, apart from the actual
coasts which could be plagued by sea fogs, especially in Scotland.
Nothing cold in this, with some warm nights and the CET should rise to
closer to average over the last 10 days of the month.

By the 1st August, at T+264, the high may be beginning to decline,
allowing fronts into the West, but the only rain on those charts for
the SE, until then, is from possible thunderstorms this weekend.

So, it took some time, but summer is here, for most. Enjoy. Now how
can I skive off work??

Paul

Not a bad assessment. Maybe missing the intensity of the rain, in some
areas, towards the end, but the haars were there, as were the
thunderstorms. The days of 25C+ UK max were certainly there and the
warmest day of the year was achieved on successive days (and a small
profit, for me, on betfair!). it was the best week of the year (OK,
some don't like it hotter) for meany areas. The CET is rising and will
probably end up close to the average.

I don't see any reason to change my 10 day forecast for the 3rd. Going
well.

Paul