On Aug 2, 11:56 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

But then I believe half the people in a sophisticated continent voted
for a monkey, so what do I know?

This is what happens when a small low centred over Iceland dissipates
or become ameliorated in the continuum:

4.1 00:53 AEGEAN SEA
5.2 00:39 AEGEAN SEA

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...uakes_all.html

These quakes occurred in almost identical places according to
preliminary data. They were about 1/4hr apart with no others reported
earthwide falling between.

Whilst it is reasonable to assume this should occur on every such
occasion until one grasps the tenets of fluid mechanics and the
extreme difficulty involved in forecasting the simplest events in it.

Consider the fluid dynamic of a mug of water, an analogy favoured by
Albert Einstein in one famous epigramme.

He pointed out the behaviour of tea leaves in a stirred cup of tea
explained how rivers bend. (Actually it seems more like the behaviour
of salt domes to me. Maybe it's both.)

But consider the heat effect when superheating occurs. Overboil some
water in a mug in a microwave oven and then put a Sweetex pill in the
mug. The bubbles rising will not betray their source.

Actually knowing why they spin away from above the pill will help you
understand why forecasting weather and seismicity is so difficult. Of
course it would be more help to be told that god knows how weather and
seismology occur. Well, god and me, but I am not too clear how the
"three body problem" resolved into an acoustical one.

All the meteorologist does is compare the pressure and temperature
readings from a vast pool of data. I doubt very much if he even
considers why these pressure changes behave the way they do.

It is certainly not the impression they give on uk.sci.weather that
for example the changes to Rossby wave set ups has to have a cause.
Seismologists at least deserve credit for trying to come up with
reasons for their theories -however dull they appear.

(And yes I am well aware of the fact that the main cause of weather is
heat from the sun. Are you aware that all you'd need is a calendar to
forecast it if there wasn't a lot more to it?)