On Aug 5, 8:11 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

The chances of two earthquake wave
crests arriving at an epicentre at the same time are something in the
region of one a fortnight. In fact the likelihood is that quakes of 2
or 3 M. are themselves the results of wave crest trains arriving in
the same place at the same time.

Why has it taken me years to realise this?

It is so blinking obvious!

What an idiot. What a nit!

OK. I am cool with it now. How can we use the insight? Something about
the laws of chance...... I have got to look at that now. And I haven't
cracked fluid mechanisms yet!


The lunar phase has always been a sticking point in the work I do. The
declination of the sun and moon is also an important factor.

The declination of the sun gives us the seasonality of things. But the
moon does much the same every month. About every 6 to 8 days it
reaches a sort of solstice or equinox, rising high in the sky - or
low, every fortnight.

What import that declination has depends on the time of the phase and
on the type of reaction the earth is having to it.

When the earth enters a new spell of weather, a considerable portion
seems to depend on the previous spell. The timing may influence the
set up or do away with it. It is something I have yet to determine.

Until then, it is fairly safe to say that two similar spells seem to
add to each other and two dissimilar ones seem to react in some way,
producing a sort of criticality in the fluids involved.

I don't intend to argue the point. Either I am a fool and wasting your
time or I am going to show you how you might save people by the
houseful, the school-full and the village-load.

I have always had difficulties with the phases timed at 10, 4, 2 and 8
o'clock. The reason is that they come loaded with their own synergy.
The don't need other spells to add to their phenomena or deflate any
potential.

A case in point is the North Atlantic Low off Europe.

With the phase at quarter or twenty past the hour, this spell
collected a series of lows to the south of Iceland and rotated them.
The so called perfect storm. Not likely to produce the events of the
film but to display to the world what is going on.

Two lows meeting don't interact to produce one giant cyclone. They
interact as waves do. As light does, their sources are distinct and
immiscible. However the phenomenon generated is air rotation and as it
is rotating in the same direction and on the same plane, the speeds
increase and the waves rise.

But when they move off they move away from each other and weather
models break down because of that. No allowance seems to be made or
perhaps the equations can not be written?

What seems to occur with a duality is that at these times of phases, a
precursor is a Greek quake next to a Japanese one. Why and how remains
to be seen. In previous similar spells a Low dissipates from Britain
to the Baltic and reappears over Greece.

This has just happened, all except that last part. Which I have yet to
check. On the Met Office Atlantic chart for Noon Monday the Low was
over the Baltic, click update and...

TalkTalk just DeISP'd me.

....and the Low is glowering. Not only that but the old one off the
west of Britain has been replaced. There will be tears before bedtime
with this spell. When you see long lasting Lows, and lots of mice-like
occlusions on them, then that is a sure sign that the chart is
forecasting earthquakes. But where? And what intensity?

I don't know.

And I may even get the phenomenon wrong. It could just as easily be
volcanic or tornadic in nature. Edouard and 10W are unlikely to be the
full force. I think it will be a major earthquake. Maybe two.


By damn!

This thing has been staring me in the face for weeks maybe longer, I
can't remember...

How long have I known that paired overlapping quakes are a prelude to
storms dying?

Well I have known an whole lot longer that earthquakes of magnitude
six and over follow tropical storms.

Put those two facts together and you realise what causes large
magnitude quakes. They are nothing more than overlapping pairs of -or
multiple, quakes.

So in theory, it is only a matter of chance that there are no such
things as Mag 1001 earthquakes. The chances of two earthquake wave
crests arriving at an epicentre at the same time are something in the
region of one a fortnight. In fact the likelihood is that quakes of 2
or 3 M. are themselves the results of wave crest trains arriving in
the same place at the same time.

Why has it taken me years to realise this?

It is so blinking obvious!

What an idiot. What a nit!

OK. I am cool with it now. How can we use the insight? Something about
the laws of chance...... I have got to look at that now. And I haven't
cracked fluid mechanisms yet!
************************************************** ************************************************** *********
I'm not going to look. It may turn out to be easy but maths is not my
cuppa.

I'm going to go for the easier option because:

If it works, that is all I need.
It would be the most logical progression.
Because it offers a reliable alternative of investigation that is far
easier to achieve than if the acoustics cause quakes at random.
I think the physics fits better this way. And..
If god wants us to understand his creation he'd do it like this:

The cause of earthquakes is the sound of air on the surface of stuff/
material that it blows past. This material may be yet more air as in
different layers or it might be the stuff we are more familiar with in
storms, the sound of air blowing over fields, woods, roads and houses.

If I am correct, it disposes of any chicken or egg conundrums.
All I need to know is do storms come first? Which appears first, the
twin earthquakes the precede the demise of major storms, or the
reduction in storm wind speed that produces twin earthquakes.

The resolution of that one requires some cogitation. And prayer.