On Aug 11, 9:28*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Aug 11, 9:07*am, Robin Nicholson



wrote:
On Mon, 11 Aug 2008 00:50:20 -0700 (PDT), Dawlish
wrote:

*Towards the end

of next week and into the following weekend, there is a hint of a
change to more settled, warmer weather, especially in the south and
east.

Updated: 1238 on Sun 10 Aug 2008"

Hi Paul

All I would say is that I have seen this 'hint of high pressure' quite
a few times so far in the last month!

My feeling is that we are 'bound' to get some very pleasant weather in
September and October. I seem to recall that we have had a run of
quite quiet autumns recently.

R

Yes, I agree, Robin. The previous MetO 6-15 days forecast had exactly
that for next week (not the week after, as in yeasterday's update)!
I've not felt that those hints have generated enough confidence for a
forecast - hence no forecast of settled weather from me, until this
one.

Paul

It must be born in mind that the MetO forecasts will be generated
using a lot of additional data so it will not be surprising that it
may be at odds with GFS - GFS Operational runs and ensembles will be a
part of the mix (often small) that will vary given the situation.

Steve.
www.rockbeareweather.co.uk