Weather Banter - View Single Post - Forecast of High pressure on Tuesday 19th August

Paul Hyett · August 13th 08, 09:32 AM posted to uk.sci.weather

On Tue, 12 Aug 2008 at 10:42:11, wrote in
uk.sci.weather :

This possible high pressure and settled weather is such a tease! Still
in the balance on both the gfs and the ECM. Neither model has shown
consistency since the gfs flagged up high pressure with 5 consecutive
runs. Looking at when I forecast that I've actually got the date wrong
at T240 (blushes). well it was late at night! I still thought it was
Tuesday! The 10 day forecast is actually for Wednesday. I'll get my
coat..........

What the runs do seem to agree on is that it will be *most* settled
period since the end of July, which will be something of a relief even
if we don't get a high as such. Latest GFS suggests something very hot
around the 26th perhaps.

A forecast *two weeks* ahead? About as reliable as a politicians
promise...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)