On Aug 13, 10:14 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Aug 13, 9:32 am, Paul Hyett wrote:



On Tue, 12 Aug 2008 at 10:42:11, wrote in
uk.sci.weather :

This possible high pressure and settled weather is such a tease! Still
in the balance on both the gfs and the ECM. Neither model has shown
consistency since the gfs flagged up high pressure with 5 consecutive
runs. Looking at when I forecast that I've actually got the date wrong
at T240 (blushes). well it was late at night! I still thought it was
Tuesday! The 10 day forecast is actually for Wednesday. I'll get my
coat..........

What the runs do seem to agree on is that it will be *most* settled
period since the end of July, which will be something of a relief even
if we don't get a high as such. Latest GFS suggests something very hot
around the 26th perhaps.

A forecast *two weeks* ahead? About as reliable as a politicians
promise...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

I don't think Nick's comments were a forecast! However, mine, at the
top of this thread certainly was and at the moment, it looks likely
that next Tuesday will be anything like calm and settled!

Paul

Well it could be down in the southwest according to the GFS 0600!
Seems to still be very variable even as soon as the weekend.

Nick