On 19 Dec, 12:59, "Will Hand" wrote:
Is back again for a sequel on GFS 6Z run.
LOL, almost certainly an outlier, but is it? ....

Just written my Dartmoor forecast for Christmas in the usual place.
I've gone locally for a sunny and cold day with max. circa 4-6C but with a
raw feeling light to moderate easterly wind.

William! I told you to leave that GFS model alone!

Excellent agreement between those available models for T+144 in the
poor man's ensemble. (Actually, I wonder why an inter-model comparison
is called "poor man's" ensemble - I would think agreement between
entirely different models is more robust an answer as to the weather's
outcome than ensemble members of a single model that all may be
exhibiting the same model flaw).

http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...=144&range=glb

A good crisp cold Xmas comes 2nd place to a snowy one for me.
Excellent.

Richard