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Old January 25th 09, 11:48 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
Roger Coppock Roger Coppock is offline
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Default 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record

8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C.
The Variance is 0.10268.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3204.

Rxy 0.62095 Rxy^2 0.38558
TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 79.699722
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.99999999999999 (14 nines)
The month of December in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.354,
yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend.
The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591

Rank of the months of December
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2006 14.84 0.828 2.58
2003 14.76 0.748 2.33
2005 14.72 0.708 2.21
1998 14.70 0.688 2.15
2004 14.65 0.638 1.99
2001 14.63 0.618 1.93
2007 14.61 0.598 1.87
2008 14.57 0.558 1.74 --
1997 14.53 0.518 1.62
1987 14.48 0.468 1.46
1990 14.47 0.458 1.43
1979 14.46 0.448 1.40
2002 14.45 0.438 1.37
MEAN 14.012 0.000 0.00
1908 13.67 -0.342 -1.07
1933 13.59 -0.422 -1.32
1920 13.59 -0.422 -1.32
1903 13.58 -0.432 -1.35
1909 13.55 -0.462 -1.44
1893 13.51 -0.502 -1.57
1929 13.50 -0.512 -1.60
1892 13.47 -0.542 -1.69
1902 13.45 -0.562 -1.75
1910 13.41 -0.602 -1.88
1907 13.39 -0.622 -1.94
1916 13.26 -0.752 -2.35
1884 13.14 -0.872 -2.72
1917 13.13 -0.882 -2.75

The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1548 months of data on this data set:
-- 755 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 793 of them are below the norm.
This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.