January 26th 09, 01:39 AM
posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2005
Posts: 114
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8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global groundrecord
On Jan 25, 7:21*pm, Frogwatch wrote:
On Jan 25, 7:20 pm, Frogwatch wrote:
On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record
In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html
These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.
The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C.
The Variance is 0.10268.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3204.
Rxy 0.62095 * Rxy^2 0.38558
TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 79.699722
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.99999999999999 (14 nines)
The month of December in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.354,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend.
The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346
Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591
*Rank of the months of December
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2006 * 14.84 * * 0.828 * * 2.58
2003 * 14.76 * * 0.748 * * 2.33
2005 * 14.72 * * 0.708 * * 2.21
1998 * 14.70 * * 0.688 * * 2.15
2004 * 14.65 * * 0.638 * * 1.99
2001 * 14.63 * * 0.618 * * 1.93
2007 * 14.61 * * 0.598 * * 1.87
2008 * 14.57 * * 0.558 * * 1.74 --
1997 * 14.53 * * 0.518 * * 1.62
1987 * 14.48 * * 0.468 * * 1.46
1990 * 14.47 * * 0.458 * * 1.43
1979 * 14.46 * * 0.448 * * 1.40
2002 * 14.45 * * 0.438 * * 1.37
MEAN * 14.012 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1908 * 13.67 * *-0.342 * *-1.07
1933 * 13.59 * *-0.422 * *-1.32
1920 * 13.59 * *-0.422 * *-1.32
1903 * 13.58 * *-0.432 * *-1.35
1909 * 13.55 * *-0.462 * *-1.44
1893 * 13.51 * *-0.502 * *-1.57
1929 * 13.50 * *-0.512 * *-1.60
1892 * 13.47 * *-0.542 * *-1.69
1902 * 13.45 * *-0.562 * *-1.75
1910 * 13.41 * *-0.602 * *-1.88
1907 * 13.39 * *-0.622 * *-1.94
1916 * 13.26 * *-0.752 * *-2.35
1884 * 13.14 * *-0.872 * *-2.72
1917 * 13.13 * *-0.882 * *-2.75
The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1548 months of data on this data set:
* -- 755 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 793 of them are below the norm.
This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.
Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. *They actually
think it has been warm. *Rog, any chance they screwed up this data
too? *They have made it a habit.
BTW, they CANNOT correct for the urban heat island effect when they
think a station next to an AC exhaust will produce good data. *They
think that stations adjacent to hot asphalt give good data.- Hide quoted text -
- Show quoted text -
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