"Robin Nicholson" wrote in
message ...
On Wed, 4 Feb 2009 16:54:32 -0000, "Brendan DJ Murphy"
wrote:


The tight low still there for Tuesday on today's 12Z run
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1443.png


i noticed on my NOGAPS site which I tend to favour a Low moving
briskly across Northern France. Unless it takes a more northerly track
I don't think it will trouble Dorset

R

EC's operational output has been fairly consistent in keeping the track
across northern France. The GFS significantly further north and the MetO GM
seemingly somewhere in-between the two.
http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...=144&range=glb
Not surprisingly there's quite a bit of variance in EC's ensemble output but
if anything it would appear to support a track slightly further north.
Place your bets.

Jon.