The area of heavy precipitation over the western English Channel looks to be on
a track rather further to the west than the current forecasts and warnings
suggest. I haven't been looking at the dynamics of the situation so my
impression is based solely on eye-balling the track on the radar imagery. At
the moment Wales and the West Midlands look to be in the firing line rather
than SE England. I acknowledge that the situation may well be much more
complicated than I can deduce from my quick look :-)

Norman
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Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.