View Single Post
  #12   Report Post  
Old February 8th 09, 11:43 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
[email protected] lawrence13@sky.com is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2007
Posts: 346
Default Our 9/2/09 winter storm - a few thoughts

On Feb 8, 10:01*pm, John Hall wrote:
In article ,
*Richard Dixon writes:





"Martin Rowley" wrote in
:


... going to be a tricky one this: both for the forecasters and the
services on the ground dealing with the results (both in BI & France).
I don't like these beasts that develop near the left-exit of one jet
and the right-entrance of another (both developmental areas). As Will
says, it's very dependent upon the model analysis whether the outcome
(NWP) is a perfect forecast - but whatever, this is going to be a 'bit
of a do'!


Martin - I take heart in the consistency of all the models dealing with
this development over the past 5 days.


Of course they could be all wrong in terms of intensity, track etc. but one
would hope that the inter-model and inter-run consistency points to a
hopefully good forecast !


I think one problem is that an error of as little as say 30 miles in the
N-S positioning of the track could make a big difference in where gets
snow and where gets only rain.
--
John Hall
* * * * * *"It is a very sad thing that nowadays there is so little useless
* * * * * * information."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *Oscar Wilde (1854-1900)- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Well if thats the case then why not say so ionstaed of all this orange
nonesense.