Thread: Hurricane Ivan
View Single Post
  #10   Report Post  
Old September 6th 04, 07:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Alan LeHun Alan LeHun is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 735
Default Hurricane Ivan

In article ,
says...
Yes it has been much more active than normal. The August total of eight
tropical storms is the highest ever.


Having saif that it is nothing to do
with global warming, it is to do with a multi-decadal cycle in the Atlantic
which results in 20-30 years of active seasons and then 20-30 years of
inactive seasons. 1995 was the start of the next active cycle, so enhanced
hurricane activity can be expected for approx the next 20 years.

I seem to recall someone explaining to me how GW would limit Atlantic
hurricane activity. Something to do with a shallower
(temperature/pressure?) gradient between the equator and the pole.

--
Alan LeHun