February tied for 13th warmest in last 130 years of the NASA global
record.
In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html
These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.
The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg
The Mean February temperature over the last 130 years is 13.991 C.
The Variance is 0.09483.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3080.
Rxy 0.754 Rxy^2 0.569
TEMP = 13.58581 + (0.006188 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 168.770391
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999 (24 nines), which is darn close to 100%!
The month of February in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.390,
yet it was 14.41. -- Above the expected.
(The rate of temperature rise continues to accelerate.)
The sum of the absolute errors is 21.69946
Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.59096 * e^(.0004425 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 21.64146
Rank of the months of February
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
1998 14.79 0.799 2.59
2002 14.70 0.709 2.30
1995 14.70 0.709 2.30
2004 14.66 0.669 2.17
2007 14.61 0.619 2.01
1999 14.60 0.609 1.98
2006 14.59 0.599 1.94
2005 14.56 0.569 1.85
2000 14.51 0.519 1.68
2003 14.50 0.509 1.65
1996 14.46 0.469 1.52
1991 14.44 0.449 1.46
2009 14.41 0.419 1.36 --
2001 14.41 0.419 1.36
MEAN 13.991 0.000 0.00
1951 13.61 -0.381 -1.24
1886 13.61 -0.381 -1.24
1929 13.59 -0.401 -1.30
1890 13.59 -0.401 -1.30
1918 13.58 -0.411 -1.34
1911 13.55 -0.441 -1.43
1904 13.55 -0.441 -1.43
1907 13.54 -0.451 -1.47
1888 13.54 -0.451 -1.47
1905 13.50 -0.491 -1.59
1887 13.50 -0.491 -1.59
1891 13.49 -0.501 -1.63
1893 13.48 -0.511 -1.66
1917 13.47 -0.521 -1.69
1895 13.46 -0.531 -1.72
The most recent 180 continuous months, or 15 years and 0 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1550 months of data on this data set:
-- 670 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 880 of them are below the norm.
This run of 180 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.