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Old April 7th 09, 02:31 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
Roger Coppock Roger Coppock is offline
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Default Latest Satellite Data Show A Warming Global Climate

On Apr 6, 6:05*pm, "BobLl" wrote:
"Roger Coppock" wrote in message
...
Latest Satellite Data Show A Warming Global Climate


The satellite record, in all its current interpretations,
shows that the air near the surface is warming.
For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see:


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements


The URL below is one of the more conservative records
from the University of Alabama at Huntsville.


http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2


The global data given above are graphed he


http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg


The regression statistics for the line in the graph above
are below.


Coefficients:
* * * * * * Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) -25.39055 * *2.13541 * -11.9 * 2e-16
YEARMON * * * 0.01277 * *0.00107 * *11.9 * 7.27e-28
---


Residual standard error: 0.179 on 362 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.282
F-statistic: *142 on 1 and 362 DF, *p-value: *7.27e-28


Yes I got the same result *0.0128 deg C warming per year for the full global
data set since 1988. * However if you do the same analysis for 1998 through
the present you get a cooling trend of 0.0044 deg C per year - going on for
the last 10 years.


Yes, we all know that there was a warm spike a decade
ago. Fossil fool love to cherry pick data to place
that spike at the start of their biased interval.

Now be a good first year statistics student and compute
R squared a p-value for your cherry pie. A R-squared
of 0 and p-value of 0.359 is not significant. These
data do not support your statement about a cooling trend
over the last 10 years.

Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) 9.09247 9.62200 0.94 0.35
YEARMON[K:length(YEARMON)] -0.00442 0.00480 -0.92 0.36

Residual standard error: 0.181 on 133 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.00634, Adjusted R-squared: -0.00113
F-statistic: 0.849 on 1 and 133 DF, p-value: 0.359