On May 1, 11:41*am, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Alastair"
The Met Office don't seem to have given any reasons for their forecast
of a hot dry summer. I wonder if they have been consulting
arborealists :-?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...ce/summer2009/

follow the appropriate links for various presentations etc.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N * Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023

Thanks for that link Martin.

But it still does not tell me the data on which they based their
predictions. They mention that "The Met Office has experts which
understand how all of the above interact to provide a comprehensive
picture for the season ahead." Presumably, the data and weightings is
a trade secret. Perhaps the clue is that they are expecting an El
Nino, which should lead to a blocking high in north west Europe.

An El Nino could also spell a death blow to the Arctic sea ice.

Cheers, Alastair.