On May 1, 2:44*pm, "Jon O'Rourke" wrote:
"Alastair" wrote in message

...

But it still does not tell me the data on which they based their
predictions.

Whilst it's not the whole story the output from the seasonal dynamical model
can be viewed on the link to the right of this pagehttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/creating/monthsahead/seasonal/ind...
(registration required) - then select Europe in the global seasonal category
maps.

Jon.

Thanks Jon,

It seems that it is mostly based on sea surface temperatures with El
Nino/La Nina playing a large part. They are predicting an El Nino for
this summer, but on their chart up to 1st April it still shows a La
Nina. It will be intereating to see if they are right.

Cheers, Alastair.