"Tudor Hughes" wrote in message
...
On May 23, 11:16 am, "Norman" wrote:

What has been noticeable over the years is that the majority of those on
the
group who I know to be professional forecasters have largely steered clear
of
predictions. Postings from them have been mostly related to the current
weather. Most "forecasts" posted on the group are from individuals who
have not
earned their living at the sharp end of forecasting.

Perhaps those of us who have lived at the sharp end learned long ago not
to
stick our necks out if we don't have to. We've seen it all go wrong so
often in
the past :-(

--
Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.

Quite understandable that current or recently-retired
professionals should not want to stick their necks out. Some
knowledgeable and relatively uncommitted comments would be good,
though. I would not be among those throwing sticks and stones if it
all went a bit pear-shaped. The situation on Tuesday in the east of
England looks potentially interesting but maybe one should not attach
too much weight to those occasional drama-queens, GFS. There is going
to be some very moist air over the near continent.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

=============

Tudor ISTM that there is likely to be two pulses of rain. the first on
Monday affecting SW Britain, this will be fairly modest but potentially
thundery. Another plume associated with higher Theta-ws is likely over SE
Britain late Monday into Tuesday, this could be vicious with frequent, hail,
thunder and lightning. It is a close run thing though as it could easily go
into the North Sea. I would say, Kent, E. Essex, Suffolk, perhaps Norfolk
most at risk.

Will
--