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Old June 17th 09, 11:40 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Lawrence Jenkins Lawrence Jenkins is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2006
Posts: 6,158
Default Phew that was a close one


"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Jun 17, 10:57 pm, "Lawrence Jenkins" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...
On Jun 17, 7:35 pm, "Lawrence Jenkins" wrote:





"Dawlish" wrote in message


...
On Jun 17, 6:57 pm, "Lawrence Jenkins" wrote:


"Dawlish" wrote in message


...
On Jun 16, 5:34 pm, "Lawrence Jenkins" wrote:


http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/i...timeseries.png


Worth noting some things about the melt season in the Arctic. The
season is characterised by acceleration and slowing down of the rate
of melt. The recent slowing down was probably due to some fairly
intense low pressures that had been affecting the Arctic Basin. These
storms can lead to a slowing of the melt and storms in August of 2006
were the reason why that summer didn't achieve a record low (2007 then
went on to stun all Arctic scientists, of course, with a quite
incredible ice low!).


As you can see from the wetterzentrale N. Hemisphere maps below, those
storms have been replaced by a large area of high pressure, which was
well forecast and has built over the last few days. It is presently
centred on the North Pole and is forecast to persist, drifting over
the Chuckchi Sea and the East Siberian Sea during the next week. The
increased insolation this will bring ought to kick start the melt in
the Arctic Basin and begin a rapid melt of the very vulnerable first-
year ice in the two other areas I've mentioned, as well as other
adjoining areas. Watch the rate of Arctic ice-loss over the next 7-10
days. I'd expect it to accelerate and we could well see a period of
very fast melt over the solstice and to the end of June.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rhavn001.gif


Now let me get this straight: When it doesn't melt it's weather and
when
it
does its AGW LOL


What ARE you talking about? My post is about varying ice melt during
the melt season and one reason for it. Was something in it wrong?


I've been at pains to point out to you that you simply don't
understand about snapshots and what you mustn't make of them. Ice
melt, especially around the solstice, is prone to acceleration and
slowing down because of synoptics and a comment when it slows down
just shows you don't get it. You see the hand of AGW in everything
around you. An ounce of sense and understanding would really, really,
help you. Leave alone what you don't understand and can't discuss and
stop posting these silly one-line posts with a link to a newspaper, or
a blog, about it being colder somewhere.


I find this stuff rich coming from people like you and Col who believe
Polar
Bears are in danger?


You jsut couldn't make it up.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


You're not worth conversing with. You have no sense and can't spell.

Well why to you bother then you areshole- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Also; when you can't actually spell the insults you try to throw
out............


Thanks for proving my point. Yes I never swear but for you I will make an
exception.

What gets me is you are supposed to be some kind of learning facilitator,
god help whoever it is your teaching. You must be very popular. Mind you
being a council where they spend hard working peoples money; It's probably
right-on gobbledygook or some tosh like that.