On Jun 16, 3:52*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 16, 7:09*am, "Col" wrote:





"Simon Bennett" wrote in message

. ..

On Mon, 15 Jun 2009 20:07:37 +0100, Keith(Southend) wrote:

an easterly flow to the south

We don't like those in Ramsgate!

But we do in Bolton!
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

Enough for me. gfs consistency and agreement at T240 between the gfs
and ECM leads to this forecast.

At T240 on Friday 26th June, the majority of the UK will be
experiencing higher than average pressure and many areas will be in a
dry and a warm spell of weather.

This dry and warm period looks like it will takle a few days longer to
develop than it did yesterday, but I'm 75% confident that at 10 days,
at the end of next week, that's what we'll see.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

This forecast wasn't correct. Although the high developed, as
expected, it became clear about 4 days after I issued the forecast
that it was likely to migrate over us, rather than settle and in the
end, it has settled over Scandinavia, allowing pressure to fall over
the UK and troughs to make progress today from the SW. Many areas are
in a dry and a warm spell of weather and there is still an
anticyclonic influence in northern areas. However I specified that the
majority of the UK would be experiencing higher than average pressure
and that is not the case. Indeed, pressures in the south are as low as
1010mb this morning.

Every 4-5 forecasts, one escapes me and this was the case here.

Overall, 71 forecasts, 54 correct; 76% accuracy.