On Jul 11, 9:38*am, "Keith(Southend)"
wrote:
I'm finding myself looking at GFS +240, but still there's no hope or
salvation in the offering.
--
Keith (Southend)http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

Hunches are about as good as forecasts, Keith and I repect your hunch
about the summer. However the gfs shows probable grim prospects to the
21st of July, not for the summer! The ECM shows something a little
different at T240 and the gfs has played with ridging of the Azores
high, towards our shores, over the last 2 days. I'd agree about
probable grim prospects out to T240, but even at that short distance,
IMO the consistency in the models is not there for a forecast with a
good chance of success.