peter clarke wrote:

"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Jul 11, 9:38 am, "Keith(Southend)"
wrote:
I'm finding myself looking at GFS +240, but still there's no hope or
salvation in the offering.
--
Keith (Southend)http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

Hunches are about as good as forecasts, Keith and I repect your hunch
about the summer. However the gfs shows probable grim prospects to the
21st of July, not for the summer! The ECM shows something a little
different at T240 and the gfs has played with ridging of the Azores
high, towards our shores, over the last 2 days. I'd agree about
probable grim prospects out to T240, but even at that short distance,
IMO the consistency in the models is not there for a forecast with a
good chance of success.

I can only refer to my suspicions about late-summer prospects on 6 July.
Nothing that has happened since then
has allayed my misgivings. I know memories can be selective, but I can
recall the Wimbledon Fortnight of 1957, much of it played in
blistering heat. I noted 35c on the middle Saturday, 29 June, but as
soon as finals were over ( Hoad beat Rosewell in the Men's!) the summer
disintigrated. There were few fine days thereafter. Of course, in 1976,
after another hot 'Wimbledon', the heatwave continued without interruption.
It is always interesting to speculate.

Peter Clarke
Ewell, Epsom



Just had to turn the lights on!!!

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net