"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
I did mention this yesterday, but there are possibilities of some very
warm weather in the second part of next week, especially for the SE,
with a plume. Some very hot weather for Spain and SW France is now
likely, with an escape of hot air from north Africa. An Atlantic low
could spoil it for us by toppling the plume and forcing the heat
further east, so there's no certainties in this, but it would be a
welcome respite from this cool and wet weather if it came off.

Hi Paul, just written my Dartmoor weekly update and it wasn't easy!
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

Amplification of the flow in the far western Atlantic looks like "buckling
then snapping" the jet turning it south-north with UK on the warm side.
However, we may be close enough for pulses of positive shear vorticity to
move north from Biscay threatening severe thunderstorms. Certainly becoming
much warmer as continental air gets pulled across the UK. 12Z GFS ensembles
are pretty confident about this change.

Well spotted BTW Paul!

Cheers,

Will
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