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Old August 15th 09, 08:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Lawrence Jenkins Lawrence Jenkins is offline
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Default Autumn Storms: Model signal


"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Aug 15, 2:57 pm, "JCW" wrote:
"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message

...

Actually when I saw the GFS, I somehow thought the August Bank holiday
wipe out had been programmed in no matter what. Put it in regardless and
its bound to be right.


All it needs is for Piers to 'validate' it with some doomsday scenario on
his site and ONLY THEN will I believe it!

No bank holiday here until the end of October...so I'll just sit back and
watch the potential horror unfold.. ;-)

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Could that be the gfs trying to model the possible track of tropical
storm ANA? At the moment it is no more than a low pressure area, but
it is becoming more organised and the National Hurricane centre gives
it a better than evens chance of becoming the first Atlantic hurricane
of the year, within the next 48 hours.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/151144.shtml

If the gfs, or any other model, gets that one right for the UK at
almost 2 weeks distance I'll go to the foot of our stairs!

That was my point even at that distance the GFS was modelled to throw in a
wet bank holiday as if that was a safe default for August BH.

I am being light hearted by the way.