"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
You are right about flagging this up Joe and I'm thinking along the
same lines after the last few runs. Things could get stormy!

Paul, signals still there for something down the pipeline:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif
(Aug 26th 00z : 950mb low half-way between New Foundland and Ireland)

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2521.png
Aug 26th 18z: 960mb low south of Iceland and west of Ireland. At 06z the GFS
doesn't have anything so potent as the ECM with a 975mb depression only
deepening as it approaches the W/NW of Ireland)

These are changes in location & strength of the depressions, as one would be
expect at that range, but the fact the runs continue to signal some very
active systems in and around that timeframe keeps the interest.

Alastair, I don't envy your better-half flying anywhere in conditions like
this but IF the storm comes about, AND the track holds true further to the
W and N, then Southampton looks relatively(!) okay!

I know it's way too far off at T+240 or T+252 but.... ;-)

Joe



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