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Old August 23rd 09, 03:20 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Tudor Hughes Tudor Hughes is offline
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Default "Bill" and the UK

On Aug 23, 10:03*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"sutartsorric" wrote in message

...
On 22 Aug, 17:35, "Keith(Southend)" wrote:





JCW wrote:
"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Looks like the usual build of high pressure over the greater part of
the
south next week as ex-Bill heads off towards the Norwegian Sea.


--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


I notice a little excitement from our buddy across the bond, Joe B.,
about
the path of Hurricane Bill toward Europe or extratropical Bill as it
will be
when it gets here.


The latest NOAA forecast path takes it over Northern Ireland / Scotland
at
the moment.


Links:
Joe's commentary
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...p?partner=accu...


NOAA projected path 5-days
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...309W5_NL_sm2+g....


Joe


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I quite like this link for the storm tracking:


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


As you say, they want to bring it further south, but the usual path is
further north with balmy high pressure conditions over much of the south
of the UK. Be interesting to see how this one develops.


And we all know that the south of the UK is the only area that
matters
====

No the only area that matters is SW England (centre of the universe)! :-)

Seriously, it is interesting how the MetO forecasters want to track it along
50N and then turn it into Ireland. And why not?! These ex-tropical storms
can be thought of as blobs of very warm and wet air moving in a fast
current. They will never behave like normal baroclinic waves as their
structure is different. When the rain arrives over the whole of the UK it
will come down in torrents and that will be the main feature. Not good news
for poor old rain-battered NW Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Batten down those hatches, there's a hurricane on the way :-)

M.Fish
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I always thought the centre of the Universe was located at NE1
4ST. Oh well.
I agree with the rest of your posting and that there'll be a lot of
widespread heavy rain though it's difficult to see us getting much
down here if the forecast track is right.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.