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Old August 28th 09, 09:47 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
Roger Coppock[_2_] Roger Coppock[_2_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2009
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Default In the last 130 years of NASA's Northern Hemisphere record, July was7th warmest.

In the last 130 years of NASA's Northern Hemisphere record, July was
7th warmest.

Would you trust anyone who said, "It was cosmic rays, not
airplanes, which brought down the World Trade Center towers?"
NO! You'd trust them as much as someone who said, "The
warming was due to Anything But Carbon Dioxide!" This
group is full of ABCD cheerleaders; don't trust them.

The Mean July temperature over the last 130 years is 14.075 C.
The Variance is 0.08904.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2984.

Rxy 0.694744 Rxy^2 0.48267
TEMP = 13.713542 + (0.005524 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 119.424211
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.9999999999999999999 (19 nines)
The month of July in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.432,
yet it was 14.67. - 0.8 SIGMA above the trend, so
the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 22.76667

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.717337 * e^(.0003935 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 22.701585

Rank of the months of July
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
1998 14.94 0.865 2.90
2005 14.91 0.835 2.80
2002 14.85 0.775 2.60
2007 14.78 0.705 2.36
2006 14.77 0.695 2.33
2003 14.71 0.635 2.13
2009 14.67 0.595 1.99 --
2001 14.62 0.545 1.83
2008 14.60 0.525 1.76
1991 14.59 0.515 1.72
1995 14.58 0.505 1.69
2004 14.57 0.495 1.66
1994 14.53 0.455 1.52
1988 14.49 0.415 1.39
MEAN 14.075 0.000 0.00
1900 13.77 -0.305 -1.02
1898 13.77 -0.305 -1.02
1965 13.75 -0.325 -1.09
1891 13.75 -0.325 -1.09
1976 13.72 -0.355 -1.19
1902 13.72 -0.355 -1.19
1956 13.69 -0.385 -1.29
1907 13.67 -0.405 -1.36
1903 13.66 -0.415 -1.39
1913 13.63 -0.445 -1.49
1884 13.60 -0.475 -1.59
1892 13.59 -0.485 -1.63
1904 13.50 -0.575 -1.93
1912 13.47 -0.605 -2.03
1882 13.41 -0.665 -2.23

The most recent 154 continuous months, or 12 years and 10 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1555 months of data on this data set:
-- 800 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 755 of them are below the norm.

This run of 154 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.