On Sep 17, 6:24*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Sep 17, 10:45*am, "Alan Murphy" wrote:

Do I detect a slight cooling in the air?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environmen...9/sep/16/globa...

Hi Alan. Thanks for that. It's actually a good article, the basic gist
of which I agree with. Last year, the Hadley Centre released a
prediction from their own model saying that GW may stall for few years
before picking up again. Neither Latif's model, not the Hadley
Centre's model says that GW is at an end because of graphs that start
at the peak of the largest El Nino of modern times in 1998.

Just to drag this thread back on topic. *))

Here's the very recent paper from Hadley Centre scientists, much
discussed on the blogosphere already, It is relevant to Monibot's good
article and backs the AGW side's arguments again. It is always worth
reading the original paper, rather than just the discussion forum
comments.

The paper concludes that:

"These results show that climate models possess internal mechanisms of
variability capable of reproducing the current slowdown in global
temperature rise. Other factors, such as data biases and the effect of
the solar cycle (Haigh 2003), may also have contributed, although
these results show that it is not essential to invoke these
explanations. The simulations also produce an average increase of
2.0°C in twenty-first century global temperature, demonstrating that
recent observational trends are not sufficient to discount predictions
of substantial climate change and its significant and widespread
impacts. Given the likelihood that internal variability contributed to
the slowing of global temperature rise in the last decade, we expect
that warming will resume in the next few years, consistent with
predictions from near-term climate forecasts (Smith et al. 2007;
Haines et al. 2009)."

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...ratures_09.pdf

Of course, we'll have to wait to see if it is true, but the paper does
reflect the mainstream and the vast majority, of current climate
science thinking about likelihoods for the future.