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Old September 23rd 09, 08:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
jcw jcw is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Sep 2009
Posts: 30
Default Northerly plunge next week

"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Seems to be consistency in all the models for a northerly plunge next week
as we enter the month of October.

September is turning out another very dry month here in Southend-on-Sea,
with currently only 8.0mm of rain (17% average), as it stands it will be
second driest after 1997 (7.6mm), 1985 (9.7mm, 3rd driest) temperatures
are also standing at 1.0°C above average.
--


Indeed, Keith.

Noticing too that the 12z ECM has some proper height rise signals over
toward Greenland which could lead to a hefty Greenie/Icelandic High Pressure
influencing weather down the line?

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif

GFS not very far behind either and it's unusual, IMHO, to see even tentative
agreement at that range with such a set-up! Admittedly it's T+216 to T+240
but of interest nonetheless. October 2nd onward could be quite chilly....


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2401.png

Is it a bit early for this type of set-up do you think...if it comes about?

Joe



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