On Sep 25, 8:47*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...
On Sep 24, 1:46 pm, Dawlish wrote:



On Sep 23, 7:20 pm, "Keith(Southend)"
wrote:

Seems to be consistency in all the models for a northerly plunge next
week as we enter the month of October.

September is turning out another very dry month here in Southend-on-Sea,
with currently only 8.0mm of rain (17% average), as it stands it will be
second driest after 1997 (7.6mm), 1985 (9.7mm, 3rd driest) temperatures
are also standing at 1.0°C above average.
--
Keith (Southend)http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

There certainly *was* Keith!
I find the turn of events over this last week really interesting. 6
days ago, the models picked up the re-establishment of the high
pressure. The consistency and agreement was enough for me to forecast
at 10 days and barring something very strange, that forecast looks as
if it will be good. However, a short time after my forecast for the
29th, the ECM massively, then, to a lesser extent, the gfs showed a
northerly, which is likely not to occur. This "faux-northerly" stayed
on the charts for a couple of days and then over the last 36 hours has
been erased.

=====================

Paul, thank goodness it is not February, else you would see toys and tipped
over prams everywhere by now!

For me, substitute February for December and/or January. Bright and
mild weather in Feb is not at all unpleasant, it makes it seem like
spring has arrived (which, if one uses the criterion of winter being
the darkest three months, it has). On the other hand in Dec and Jan,
the cold and the snow are much more essential for aesthetic appeal,
there's little worse than endless dark, damp, drizzly days....

Nick